STAR PREVIEW Champions Day

first_imgPROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 155.50 points(not including Premier League ante-post, CJ Cup) An end of season highlight for British racing, this year’s Champions Day sees many fiercely contested events – four of them Group 1 races – and also an element that has been strangely absent from the flat this Autumn in the shape of soft ground.1.25 – Long Distance Cup: Stradivarius is the Champion Stayer no matter what happens today but he wouldn’t want the ground to be much softer than when third behind Order Of St George last season and he’s also very short – even after a 57-day break from York. Flag Of Honour’s win in the Irish Leger was very impressive and he can throw down a challenge but Thomas Hobson looks to be a decent each/way bet against the top two. He had struggled for form before his win in the Doncaster Cup but he loves soft ground and is one of the three horses with strong recent form claims.2.00 – Champion Sprint Stakes: There’s not much separating many of these but The Tin Man loves Ascot and thrives when the mud is flying, as he showed when beating Brando in a heavy ground Sprint Cup. Oisin Murphy got on beautifully with him that day and takes the ride again, and he can prove too strong for big dangers Brando, Librisa Breeze, Harry Angel, and Tasleet. The improving Projection is an interesting outsider.2.40 – Fillies and Mares Stakes: Lah Ti Dar is untried on anything slower than good and whilst she is wildly progressive, this is unlikely to be as easy as the market suggests following her St Leger second. Stablemate Coronet could have the best form in the shape of her King George third or Yorkshire Oaks second. She was behind Hydrangea last year, when a running on third, and should be close up again. Aidan O’Brien’s filly, and the defending Champion, is the main threat – having had time off since two poor runs in the summer when the stable was suffering from a bug. Prix Vermeille winner Kitesurf is a threat, although her very best form has come on a sounder surface.3.15 – Queen Elizabeth II Stakes: Roaring Lion will be very difficult to beat, although quite how soft he wants the ground remains to be seen and that has to be a significant question mark for him. It also applies to Laurens, who has had a phenomenal season. Recoletos, fourth in the Champion Stakes last year, is much happier getting his toe in and his poor run at the Royal Meeting could perhaps be explained by ground that was too firm.The Lincoln wouldn’t normally be used as a form marker but Addeybb and Lord Glitters dominated the field that day when carrying huge weights and Lord Glitters has since gone onto run well subsequently in high class company, including fine efforts in the Queen Anne and Sussex Stakes, these conditions ought to be perfect. Addeybb is a huge threat back on softer ground, having found the going too fast at Newbury in the Lockinge.3.50 – Champion Stakes: Cracksman was devastating when taking the field apart in this last season and whilst he’s been slightly complicated through this campaign, the return of a soft surface ought to be a saving grace and he should take the beating. Some have been disappointed by his season, but he was an easy winner of the Ganay, hated Epsom in the Coronation Cup, and was beaten by the subsequent King George winner at the Royal Meeting. He should take a power of beating if he consents to jump from the stalls and is a worthy favourite. Crystal Ocean looks a strong second favourite. Capri, a winner on heavy ground and fifth in the Arc, could also be a big player.4.30 – Balmoral Handicap: Phenomenally competitive as ever and the form of the Challenge Cup will have a big effect. Raising Sand was very impressive there and wouldn’t have been stopped by a penalty that day, but Flaming Spear was flying home in the last furlong after getting no run and this extra furlong ought to put him right in the thick of the action here. Safe Voyage could run well after a light season, having won the valuable ”Ahonoora” Handicap at Galway.RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)BACK The Tin Man (2.00) 1 point at SP with starsports.betBACK Cracksman (3.50) 3 points at SP with starsports.betBACK Flaming Spear (4.30) 1 point each/way at SP with starsports.betlast_img

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *